The research report “Oil & Gas Report Vietnam” (
http://www.bharatbook.com/detail.asp?id=18656) provides the…..
Independent 5-year oil and gas industry forecasts for Vietnam.
Original oil and gas market research and oil and gas sector trend ****ysis for Vietnam’s oil and gas industry.
Competitive intelligence, Vietnamese oil and gas company rankings and SWOT ****yses on international and domestic oil and gas companies in Vietnam.
The Vietnam Oil & Gas Report has been researched at source in 2007, and features latest available data and forecasts for Vietnam to end-2011 covering headline indicators for oil & gas, LNG, coal and power; company rankings and competitive landscapes covering oil & gas exploration and production in Vietnam, refining, oil & gas distribution and fuels retailing; and ****ysis of latest industry developments, trends and regulatory issues within Vietnam.
Vietnam Oil & Gas Report provides professionals, consultancies, government departments, regulatory bodies and researchers with independent forecasts and competitive intelligence on the Vietnamese oil and gas industry.
Key Benefits of Report
Benchmark It’s Independent 5-Year Oil & Gas Industry Forecast for Vietnam to test consensus views - a key input for successful budgeting and strategic business planning in the Vietnamese oil and gas market.
Target Business Opportunities & Risks in the Vietnamese Oil & Gas Sector through reviews of latest industry trends, regulatory changes, and major deals, projects and investments in Vietnam.
Exploit The Latest Competitive Vietnamese Oil & Gas Intelligence & Company SWOTS on your competitors and peers through company rankings by sales, market share and ownership structure - includes multi national and national companies in Vietnam.
Coverage
Executive Summary
Summary of It’s key forecasts and industry ****ysis, covering oil and gas reserves, supply, demand, refining, coal and power, and primary energy, plus ****ysis of landmark company developments and key changes in the regulatory environment.
Regional Overview
Regional perspective on size and value of industry sector; comparative rankings by production, refining, imports and exports; overview of industry landscape and key players; assessment of business operating environment and latest regulatory developments.
Business Environment Rankings
A unique comparative study undertaken by It on the relative business climates across all regional markets covered. A rankings table highlights the merits of each market from an investor angle, giving scores for indicators such as Oil & Gas Supply and Demand Growth, Oil & Gas Reserves, Licensing Framework and the local Competitive Environment, as well as Economic and Political Risk.
Oil Market Outlook
It ****yses and forecasts oil prices out to 2011, monitoring supply and demand in terms of oil production and consumption across the region.
It 5-Year Industry Forecast
Historic data series and 5-year forecasts to end-2011 for all key industry indicators (see list below), supported by explicit assumptions, plus ****ysis of key downside risks to the main forecast, including:
Oil reserves (bn barrels), production, consumption, refinery capacity and throughputs (000 b/d)
Oil exports (000 b/d), value of oil exports (US$mn - It base case) - Oil price (US$/bbl, OPEC basket)
Value of oil exports at constant US$30/bbl and constant US$60/bbl (US$mn)
Proven gas reserves (tcm), production and consumption (bcm)
Gas exports/(imports) (bcm)
Value of gas exports/(imports) (US$mn); value of gas exports/(imports) at constant US$30/bbl and US$60/bbl (US$mn)
Value of petroleum exports (US$mn); value of petroleum exports at constant US$30/bbl and US$60/bbl (US$mn)
It 5-Year Macroeconomic Forecast
It forecasts for all headline macroeconomic indicators, including real GDP growth, inflation, fiscal balance, trade balance, current account and external debt.
Competitive Landscape & Rankings
Comparative company ****yses and rankings by US$ sales, % share of total sales, number of employees, year established, market cap/NAV, ownership structure, oil production (‘000 b/d) and % market share, downstream capacity (‘000 b/d) and % market share.
Company Profiles & SWOTS
Company profiles, including SWOT ****yses, senior executives and full contact details, business activity, products and services, foreign direct investments and projects.
Executive Summary
The latest Vietnam Oil & Gas Report from It forecasts that the country will account for just 1.13% of Asia/Pacific regional oil demand by 2011, while providing 4.52% of supply. Asia/Pacific regional oil use of 21.4mn barrels per day (b/d) in 2001 reached 24.84mn b/d last year. It should average 25.68mn b/d in 2007 and then rise to around 29.04mn b/d by 2011. In terms of natural gas, the region last year consumed 409bcm, with demand of 620bcm targeted for 2011, representing growth of 51.4% between 2006 and 2011. Production of 329bcm in 2006 should reach 478bcm in 2011 (+45.0%), but implies net imports rising from 80bcm per annum to 142bcm. Vietnam's share of gas consumption in 2006 was 1.71%, while its share of production was 2.12%. By 2011, its share of gas consumption is forecast to be 3.23%, with the country accounting for 4.19% of supply.
Global oil demand growth is expected to be around 2.0% this year, with Asia/Pacific and the CEE regions dominating. This is an encouraging rate of market expansion, given a relatively uncertain economic picture and high commodity prices. Our oil price projections for 2007 as a whole are revised upwards from the last quarterly report. We are now assuming an OPEC basket price average of US$59 per barrel, compared with the US$55 estimate provided by our last two quarterly reports. Based on recent price differentials, this implies Brent at US$62.83, WTI averaging US$61.25/bbl, and Urals at US$59.42/bbl.
Vietnamese real gross domestic product (GDP) growth is forecast by It at 8.2% for 2007, unchanged from 2006. We are also assuming 8.2% growth in 2008, followed by 8.7% in 2009 and 8.5% in 2010/11.
Exploration success is on the rise in Vietnam, with a growing number of international oil companies (IOCs) partnering PetroVietnam in finding and developing hydrocarbon resources – particularly gas. We are assuming oil and gas liquids production of no more than 360,000b/d by 2011, although the country is expected to pump 390,000b/d this year. Consumption is forecast to increase by 4-6% per annum to 2011, implying demand of 329,000b/d by the end of the forecast period. Gas supply and demand is forecast to increase from last year's 7bcm to 20bcm by 2011.
In the It Business Environment Ranking matrix, Vietnam receives an unchanged composite score of 31, which now ranks the country eighth out of 14 states included in the Asia/Pacific region. The overall business environment can be considered neutral in a regional context, thanks to a very high level of perceived economic and political risk. These factors are offset partly by the country's high oil/gas reserves to production ratio (RPR) and healthy short- to medium-term gas output growth. Neither Vietnam's regulatory regime nor its competitive landscape is particularly attractive in a regional context. IOC spending has been rising, largely in conjunction with the development of the country's gas industry.
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